Well, the Super Bowl is complete and the New York Football Giants have the right to call themselves World Champions after beating the Patriots 21-17. On to other things. The Combines will happen later this month and mock drafts will spring up like mushrooms in a cow field after a summer rain. Well, not one to resist the temptation, here is my first mock on this blog for the 2012 NFL season.
1. Colts - QB Andrew Luck, Stanford
It's an obvious pick, and for obvious reasons. I think this team has set the stage for Peyton Manning to be either traded or cut outright. He won't see a dime of that $28 million he's due in March. Even if they get him to renegotiate that ludicrous deal, they'll stick with the idea of taking Andrew Luck. Life after Peyton is going to happen, perhaps sooner than later.
2. Rams - OT Matt Kalil, USC
The Rams don't have a dire need at left tackle, but the fact is that Roger Saffold can be inconsistent and would probably be best either on the right side, where Jason Smith has been a major disappointment, or at his collegiate position of guard. Either way, Matt Kalil is being regarded by many as the best offensive tackle prospect in half a decade. Keeping Sam Bradford upright needs to be the concern in St. Louis. Kalil is a tremendous pass blocker.
3. Vikings - CB Morris Claiborne, LSU
It will probably be a tough thing for the Vikings to pass on receiver Justin Blackmon, but corners like Claiborne don't come along too often, and the Vikings know they can still get a solid big possession receiver later in the draft. Claiborne gives them a solid cover corner, something they lack, as well as someone who can fill in for Percy Harvin as a punt returner. In all likelihood the Vikings won't even make this pick, as a couple of teams will be calling them about wanting to move up to take Robert Griffin III, ahead of the Cleveland Browns. If they decide to stay, Claiborne is the better value pick above Justin Blackmon.
4. Browns - QB Robert Griffin III, Baylor
I am not convinced that Colt McCoy is the root of all evil in Cleveland. However, few can doubt that Griffin is the much better athlete and has a ton more upside than McCoy. The Browns certainly have numerous other needs, but after seeing what an athletic quarterback who can run and throw did for the Carolina Panthers, the Browns would foolish to pass on the chance of mimicking that success. In the NFL it is all about the talent you have behind center. The Browns need to upgrade there to take the next step and contend in the AFC North.
5. Buccaneers - RB Trent Richardson, Alabama
Many consider Richardson the best running back prospect to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Despite having LeGarrette Blount on the roster, Richardson would give the Buccaneers an awesome duo in their backfield and take a bunch of pressure off Josh Freeman. I don't know that Richardson will attain the success that Peterson has in the NFL, but he certainly has the tools to be an impact player immediately for this struggling franchise.
6. Redskins - WR Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State
Make no mistake, I don't expect the Redskins to be selecting here. I suspect that they will make their overtures to either St. Louis or Minnesota to try and move up to get RG3. If they somehow fail or get outbid, they will likely look to move down and get value for picking another QB later, likely Ryan Tannehill. However, if they decide to stay put, Justin Blackmon would make really good sense here. The Redskins need a quarterback to be sure, but they could also use a clear cut stud receiver, and quite frankly Jabar Gaffney, Santana Moss and Donte Stallworth all come up short in that area. I have no doubt that the Redskins will be players in free agency and the draft for a quarterback, but getting that signal caller a big time receiver will make their job that much easier.
7. Jaguars - DE Quinton Coples, North Carolina
Jacksonville moved up in the draft last season to get what they hoped would be their franchise signal caller in Blaine Gabbert. Some are already saying it was a mistake, and that he doesn't possess the fearlessness necessary to become that type of player. I say give the kid a chance. The Jags could opt to do that by taking an offensive tackle here. However, the Jaguars also need to be better at pressuring the opposing quarterback, having netted only 31 sacks for the 2011 season. Coples is a big defensive end who is drawing comparisons to former Tarheel Julius Peppers due to the size and speed combination possessed by both (aside from the obvious collegiate connection). Coples isn't quite that good, but he'd give the Jaguars a genuine force off the edge, as well as a solid run stopper there too.
8. Dolphins - OT Riley Reiff, Iowa
It's unusual for a team to select what would obviously be a right tackle for them this high in the draft. However, few who watched a Dolphins game could argue that an upgrade is needed at that spot. Reiff would instantly give the team a strong run blocker at that spot, and certainly has the talent to be an effective pass blocker there as well. I suspect the Dolphins will also be courting some teams at the top of the draft to see what it will take to move up and get RG3, but I don't see them being serious players in those sweepstakes. A move down is possible to add picks and get better value. However, should they keep this selection Reiff would be the best choice for them.
9. Panthers - DT Michael Brockers, LSU
The Panthers took two defensive tackles last year, but neither gave them the kind of play on the inside of their defensive line they were looking for. Brockers can be a penetrating player with excellent quickness off the snap and the strength to push the pocket if needed. He may need some development due to his relative youth, but his upside is better than any other at the position in this draft. Devon Still could be an option, but I see him as a one year wonder who underachieved prior to this past season. Players like that typically revert back to their underachieving nature in the NFL. The Panthers, in my opinion, should avoid him.
10. Buffalo - LB/DE Courtney Upshaw, Alabama
The Bills are quite happy with the play of Chris Hairston, and as such they will likely allow Demetrius Bell to leave in free agency and give Hairston the starting job at left tackle. The Bills can then turn their attention to another area of need, and that's along the defensive line. Rumor is that the Bills will go to a 43 defensive scheme, but will still use elements of the 34 on occasion. Courtney Upshaw would be ideal in that respect, since he has shown the talent to get after the quarterback as a down lineman, as well as having the athletic skills necessary to play outside in the 34 look.
11. Chiefs - OT Jonathan Martin, Stanford
The Chiefs can take their pick of either of Stanford's outstanding former offensive linemen. However, Martin would allow them to move Brandon Albert inside and give them a formidable left side of the offensive line. Martin needs to bulk up some, but as a pass blocker he is much better as a blind side protector than Albert ever was. The fact that the Chiefs jumped on the chance to sign Jared Gaither when he was released should be a strong indication that they want a change at the left tackle spot.
12. Seahawks - DE Melvin Ingram, South Carolina
The Seahawks could consider David DeCastro here, but the truth is they have much more critical needs on defense. The Seahawks pass rush is pretty anemic, due to the fact that Pete Carroll has been determined to build his defensive line using big, run stuffing DEs rather than pass rushers. Adding Ingram will give the team the chance to start generating more pressure on the quarterback and start taking advantage of mistakes made by the opposing offense. Stopping the run is fine, but stopping the pass is how teams win games. Another possible team to try and move up for RG3, but a trade down is more likely to get Ryan Tannehill at a more valuable spot.
13. Cardinals - OT Mike Adams, Ohio State
I'm sure there are going to be folks looking at this pick and saying 'No way'. Don't be so sure. While Adams wasn't as consistent as you'd like to see players be during the Senior Bowl practices, he was excellent during the game in stopping some of the nations best collegiate defensive ends. He has excellent feet, long arms and good balance. His technique could use some refinement, to be sure. But he's a huge improvement over anybody the Cardinals have on their roster today. Unless the Cards think David DeCastro can play left tackle (they don't) Adams would be the most obvious pick for them.
14. Cowboys - CB Dre Kirkpatrick, Alabama
The Cowboys could use David DeCastro on their offensive line, to be sure. But their secondary is among the worst in the NFL, and adding Kirkpatrick would be a tremendous boon for them. If not for his arrest for marijuana possession, Kirkpatrick would have been taken in the top ten. Some feel he is a better coverage corner than Claiborne, particularly in press coverage. Jerry Jones likes to get players from the southern colleges on his roster, so this would make sense in that regard as well.
15. Eagles - LB Luke Kuechly, Boston College
Andy Reid likes to use his first and second round picks on lineman more than anything else, so DeCastro is definitely in play here for them. However, Kuechly would give the team the leader they need at the Mike spot of their defense. Kuechly won't wow you with his athletic talent, but he takes a blue collar approach to the game and has excellent instincts. The Eagles desperately need to improve their linebacking corps, and Kuechly would be the first step towards doing that.
16. Jets - OG David DeCastro, Stanford
Wayne Hunter was a complete failure at the right tackle spot, and I would imagine the Jets can see DeCastro stepping into that role and being an improvement. Even if he has trouble there, they could kick him back inside and move Matt Slauson or Brandon Moore out there. Vlad Ducasse has not developed as they'd hoped, and he seems to be a career backup. DeCastro is the best value on the board at this spot, and should be the pick here.
17. Bengals(from Raiders) - DT Devon Still, Penn State
While some think Still is a top ten talent, I have trouble believing that one good season after being underwhelming the rest of his collegiate career is cause for that type of proclaim. There is no denying Still has the talent, but his motivation has to still be a question. His backing out of the Senior Bowl is a concern as well, even with his claim of an injured toe. However, Cincinnati can use another defensive tackle with the ability to push the pocket, and Still certainly fits that description.
18. Chargers - LB Nick Reed, USC
The Chargers will have to make a really serious decision here. Do they take an obviously talented pass rusher in Reed, or do they shore up their offensive line and go with former Wisconsin Badger pivot man Peter Konz? In the end, Reed is actually the better value player, even though the offensive center position has been getting some love in the first round of recent drafts. Reed has the ability to rush the passer, and the athleticism to drop into coverage, and would allow the team to hopefully move past the Larry English fiasco.
19. Bears - WR Michael Floyd, Notre Dame
Jay Cutler needs more weapons to throw to if the Bears are going to get back into the thick of things in the NFC North. There are some off-field concerns surrounding Floyd, to be sure. But his ability on the field is unquestionable, and that's what the Bears need to be concerned with. Many feel Michael Floyd is worthy of a top fifteen grade, so getting him here is a boon for this team.
20. Titans - DE Whitney Mercilus, Illinois
The Titans were the worst team in the NFL when it came to accounting for sacks from their defensive ends. This team is desperately in need of a force coming off the edge. They have some need to improve the interior of their offensive line, so Peter Konz is an option here as well. But Mercilus is an excellent edge rusher and would give this team what they are lacking.
21. Bengals - CB Janoris Jenkins, North Alabama
Cincinnati would be smart to move Nate Clements to their free safety spot and plug in a new starter at corner opposite Leon Hall. Jenkins could be the best pure cover corner in this draft, particularly as a press corner. Landing him this late is a great value, particularly if the Bengals can rest assured his off-field issues are now behind him.
22. Browns(from Falcons) - SS Mark Barron, Alabama
With their new signal caller taken earlier in this round, the Browns can use this pick to shore up their leaky defense. Mark Barron is a solid run tackling safety who can play inside the box, but is also good as a coverage safety when called upon. His presence gives the team a big hitter with awareness and a definitive leader in the secondary.
23. Lions - OC Peter Konz, Wisconsin
Reports are that the Lions will be in the market for free agent tackle Jared Gaither, and plan on making a strong push to sign him. Even if they should not land him, they can still get Jeff Backus back for a relatively inexpensive price. However, the weakest part of their offensive line happens to be in the middle. Stephen Peterman is wildly inconsistent and Dominic Raiola is not the mauler the Lions need at center. With Raiola entering a contract year and Peterman underachieving, the Lions can take Konz to replace Peterman in 2012, then slide over in 2013 to man the center spot.
24. Steelers - OT Cordy Glenn, Georgia
The situation for the Steelers on their offensive line is desperate, and they can use upgrades just about anywhere. Cordy Glenn showed at the Senior Bowl that he's a better guard prospect than a tackle prospect, but wouldn't be completely out of place at either tackle spot if they put him there. The Steelers need to upgrade in front of Ben Roethlisberger and Reshard Mendenhall if they want to push further into the playoffs in 2012.
25. Broncos - DT Fletcher Cox, Mississippi State
Denver might look at Alshon Jeffry here, but in all honesty they need to upgrade their defense first. A cornerback that can take some burden off Champ Bailey would be nice, but none of value exist here. So getting more pressure is the next best thing, and Fletcher Cox is a great step in that direction. He can disrupt running lanes and collapse the pocket as good as any in this draft class, and just might turn out to be the best defensive tackle selected in the first round of this lottery.
26. Texans - NT Dontari Poe, Memphis
I'm sure the Texans will be torn between selecting Alshon Jeffry here, or getting a crucial piece of their defensive puzzle put into place. I look at it this way, 350 pound players with athleticism like that of Poe come along maybe once every three or four years. How often will you be there to take them when they are available? The Texans ability to stop the run will improve greatly with this pick, and a wideout can always be had later.
27. Patriots(from Saints) - RB Lamar Miller, Miami, FLA
The Patriots desperately need to upgrade their defense, but also need a reliable running game. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is set to become a free agent, and the Patriots aren't known for retaining their backs. Miller has the kind of skills that would allow them to use him either as a runner or receiver out of the backfield and he possesses the second gear Green-Ellis doesn't quite have.
28. Packers - LB Andre Branch, Clemson
I'm sure there is some question as to whether Branch is deserving of a first round grade, let alone whether he will be able to make the switch to outside linebacker in the Packer 34 defense. Branch is more than athletic enough to make the switch, but it will depend on his ability to pick up the nuances of the position in the film room. I suspect Branch can be the player the Packers are looking for to play opposite Clay Matthews, and give them two legitimate outside pass rushers.
29. Ravens - LB Vontaze Burfict, Arizona State
Just about everyone has Burfict mocked to the Ravens in this round, and for good reason. Burfict is a tremendous talent and is worthy of a top twenty grade. However, he needs to control himself in the NFL given the crackdown on the "rough" play. Ray Lewis can take Burfict under his wing and teach him to play with passion, but under control as well.
30. 49ers - WR Alshon Jeffry, South Carolina
Alex Smith had his best season by far for the 49ers, but could have done better with some better receiver play. Michael Crabtree is not the go to guy the niners need on the outside, and Vernon Davis isn't a deep, outside threat. Jeffry had a down year in 2011, so his stock dropped. However, the talent is undeniably there and if he puts it all together San Francisco will be that much more dangerous in 2012.
31. Patriots - DT Brandon Thompson, Clemson
The Patriots defense is making a transformation from a 34 defense to a hybrid defense which runs a different scheme just about every down. What the Pats would like to add is another defensive lineman that they can use either inside in a 43 set, or outside in a 34 set. Thompson has the athletic skill to be that kind of guy, and may even see some time lining up at end in the Pats four man defensive front.
32. Giants - LB Zach Brown, North Carolina
Quite possibly the fastest, most athletic linebacker in this draft, Brown is also the most enigmatic. His skills need to be brought under control for him to be a success in the NFL. He showed a tendency to over-run plays and hesitate in his decision making at the Senior Bowl. The Giants might have to wait some time before Brown is ready to start, but with proper coaching and patience he could become something special for them.
Monday, February 6, 2012
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
2012 Detroit Lions Off Season Review
Well, the Lions gave it their all for the 2011 season. They got into the playoffs and gave New Orleans a run for their money. However, a shaky performance by the secondary, and the inability to stop the run when it counted doomed the team to take yet another playoff loss. It's frightening to think that Tim Tebow actually has a playoff win under his belt, yet Matt Stafford doesn't.
The Lions are a legitimate playoff team. They didn't back into the post-season. They won games they had to, contended in some tough games, and won respect throughout the NFL for their tough style of play and prolific air attack. Despite the issues with personal fouls and Ndamukong Suh's suspension, I believe that the Lions are a respected team.
To continue to be respected, the team will have to continue improving. The Lions have done a good job under Martin Mayhew and Jim Schwartz gaining talent through both the draft and their free agency signings. With their entry into the post-season, and the fact that the Lions are still considered "up and coming", Allen Park has now become much more attractive to prospective free agents looking for a home. In regards to the draft, the Lions have had high picks under Schwartz and Mayhew. It's time to find out if they can still pan for gold later in the various rounds of the NFL yearly lottery.
Here's a review of the team on a position by position basis, and whether or not the Lions will have to make some improvements in the off-season.
QB
Matthew Stafford is the real deal. He finally saw his first full season behind center, and responded with the first 5000+ yard season by a Lions signal caller. He is only the fourth QB in NFL history to throw for over 5000 yards in a season. And he's only 23 years old folks. He has the benefit of having Calvin Johnson snagging many of those passes, that is certain. However, watching Stafford play lets you know that Calvin is equally being benefitted by the existence of Stafford tossing the ball to him. What the Lions need to be concerned with is the fact that both their backups at the position are set to become free agents. Shaun Hill and Drew Stanton will both get some interest on the open market. The Lions will likely re-sign one of them, and allow the other to sign with another team. That means they will have to snare a quarterback or two in the off-season. I expect they'll try to sign Hill, and let Stanton walk. I don't expect the Lions to use a draft pick on a QB, but certainly make a play for a top tier undrafted rookie signal caller.
RB
Boy, this is a tricky one. It's still unknown if Jahvid Best will continue his NFL career, or take the advice of many and retire due to his concussion history. Personally, I think he should hang them up. It's one thing to have multiple knee or shoulder injuries, but quite another to have four concussions in three years....at least documented concussions. And at least two of those have been fairly serious. Mikel LeShoure is coming off a devastating Achille's tendon rupture, and that type of injury is generally viewed as being something that permanently affects a player. LeShoure had very quick feet and was able to make quick cuts previous to the injury. It's doubtful he will be able to play in a similar fashion now. However, the Lions signed him to be a power back, not a slasher. Should he return and not have lingering effects, he should be in the mix at the position. The remaining players, Kevin Smith, Maurice Morris and Keiland Williams, will be backups and can't be relied upon as starters. None have been effective. Joique Bell was signed off the Saints practice squad late in the season, and will compete but can't be expected to emerge as the answer. Given the question marks surrounding this position, it wouldn't come as a surprise if the Lions make a play for a proven veteran free agent. And despite having used two high (1st rounder for Best, 2nd rounder for LeShoure) draft picks the past two years on the position, I wouldn't be shocked if they used a high pick yet again on a running back. I wouldn't like it, but I wouldn't be surprised. As for veteran free agents, players like Jason Snelling or Jerious Norwood might be pursued, since they haven't seen much action but are considered quality backups to better players. In the draft, if a player falls in the draft, much like LeShoure did, then the Lions may take the leap and grab him. This is a position that needs some stability. To do that, the Lions need a player who can remain healthy.
TE
Quite honestly, I think the Lions have one of the better trio of players at this position. Pettigrew has emerged as one of the better tight ends in the league, even though he still drops some crucial passes. Tony Scheffler isn't much as a blocker, but can play from the line or from the slot, and is a mismatch for many linebackers and safeties throughout the league. Will Heller is considered a blocking specialist, but has shown himself to be a reliable receiver as well. All three are under contract in 2012. This position should remain unchanged for the third season in a row in 2012.
WR
The Lions wide receiver corps definitely got a boost when the Lions drafted Titus Young 40th overall last year. While he started off slow due to injuries in camp, as the season progressed he showed himself to be fearless running routes over the middle, with reliable hands and a flair for making tough catches. Though he lacks the size to be a true number one receiver, Young should evolve into a solid second receiver for this team. Nate Burleson had an up and down season in 2011, and needs to become a more consistent player for this team. He plays better coming out of the slot than when he is asked to run his patterns from the outside position. He is too easily misdirected off his route at the line by bigger corners. Calvin Johnson has finally shown himself to be the premier receiver in the NFL, and shut the collective mouths of critics like Cris Carter, who felt he was underperforming. After these three players, the remaining roster spots are filled by special teams players at this position. Stefan Logan was barely used as a receiver this season, and both Rashied Davis and Maurice Stovall left much to be desired when asked to take the field on offense. And based on how poorly the special teams play was this season for the Lions, I expect some turnover to take place on the lower rungs of the wide receiver ladder. I'd prefer the Lions to add some younger, hungrier and cheaper players to be their special teamers than to spend money on veterans who don't show the ability to be even somewhat effective when they must step in on offense. Having an effective fourth wide receiver, one that Matt Stafford can trust, would go a long way in making this offense even more dangerous.
OT
Jeff Backus had yet another good season, but the Lions need more. With age a concern, as well as his upcoming status as a free agent, the Lions still don't have a successor at left tackle on their current roster. As we all know, this is the second most important position on offense. Teams simply don't allow really good left tackles to leave. Jason Fox isn't the answer, as he can't remain healthy. John Culbreath has great athletic skill, but with his being on IR for the season, the Lions can't be sure of what they have. Corey Hilliard is a fine backup, but is not starting material. The only thing preventing the Lions from having the left tackle position on the top of their wish list, is the fact that they still have more dire needs on the roster. Still, if a tackle falls in the draft, I expect the Lions will strongly consider picking him even if they re-sign Backus. In free agency, someone like Jared Gaither or Demetrius Bell may get some interest, if their contract demands aren't too ridiculous. At right tackle, the Lions have even more problems. Gosder Cherilus was coming off micro-fracture surgery, so his slow start shouldn't have come as a surprise. But he never really got better as the season wore on, and his boneheaded penalties and other mistakes hurt the team. The Lions have been more than generous in giving Cherilus every possible opportunity to prove himself worthy as a starter. Personally, I'd like to see the Lions cut him and get another right tackle, either through the draft or free agency. But once again, the Lions may be hamstrung in doing so due to their cap situation, and their needs at other positions.
OG
Rob Sims isn't the second coming of Steve Hutchinson, but he's at least more consistent than Stephen Peterman. Sims also isn't a penalty machine, which Peterman is. Certainly Rob Sims has made his share of mistakes, and I'm sure continued coaching and exposure to the offensive scheme will help fix some of those. However, Stephen Peterman is a feast or famine type player. On some plays he seems worthy of All Pro consideration, and on other plays it's like he forgets he's in a football game. The Lions can't establish a running game with Peterman playing like that. Leonard Davis was signed mid-season because Peterman was playing so inconsistently, and that seemed to light a fire under him. However, it shouldn't have to come to that, and besides which Davis will be a free agent come March. On offense, this is the top priority for this team. They must improve their offensive line, and Peterman is the weak link. Carl Nicks would be a nice addition as a free agent, but he will likely command a huge salary. That is something I don't see the Lions doing, spending money like that on an interior offensive lineman. It's a shame, because I think it would dramatically boost their performance. Ben Grubbs is yet another potential player the Lions could look at, but he has had some injury issues that have limited his play. The Lions could consider using their first round pick on this position, and they have a number of players that could be of value that will be available when that time comes.
OC
Dominic Raiola is hailed by the current Detroit coaching staff as an "intelligent, hard working" player for this team. I don't dispute that. Another thing that I don't dispute is the fact that Raiola is undersized in todays NFL, and often gets manhandled by bigger DTs. Shaun Rogers consistently bull rushed Raiola in the Lions NFC playoff game, and Rogers is no longer the game changing DT he was when he graced the Lions roster. While many times the blocking scheme calls for the OG on either side of him to help, there are times where Raiola must block a DT by himself, and it is at those times that he loses more often than he wins. While he may be a great technician and solid at making line calls, none of that makes up for his lack of bulk in those situations. The Lions could kill two birds with one stone in the draft. If they were to elect the top center in the draft, former Wisconsin Badger Peter Konz, he could play guard in his first season (at 6'3" and 320 lbs, he is more than big enough) and then slide over to replace Raiola when the time is right. Like left tackles, teams don't often part with quality starting centers if they can help it. So getting a quality starter in free agency is unlikely. But much like the left tackle position, the team must start looking for the heir to their starting center, and do it soon.
DT
The Lions are pretty much set at defensive tackle, but some moves could be made here. Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley will be the starters in 2012, and Sammie Lee Hill is a valuable backup and rotational player. Hill will be entering his fourth season and will be a restricted free agent. It will be interesting to see how the Lions tender him, as there may be a team or two out there who would gladly part with a fourth round pick to add SLH to their roster. Andre Fluellen rarely saw time on the field, and is likely to be let go. But that will only happen if the Lions keep or replace Corey Williams. Williams wasn't as impressive in 2011 for the Lions as he was in 2010. And his salary is such that he'll either have to agree to a pay cut, or be cut himself. The Lions can ill afford to pay starter money to an obvious backup. While this certainly isn't the most pressing issue on the off-season list of things to do for Mayhew or Tom Lewand, it IS something that will eventually have to be addressed.
DE
Here's where the situation gets complicated for the Lions. Cliff Avril is set to be a free agent. If the Lions franchise him, they will have to pay him an exhorbitant amount of money. While Avril is good, he's definitely not a top 5 DE in the NFL. The Lions wants to extend him, and by all accounts Avril wants to remain. It will all be determined by just how valuable Avril and his agent thinks he is, and if the Lions agree or not. Willie Young is waiting in the wings, and has shown his ability to make plays rushing the passer. However, Young is a liability against the run. Should he continue bulking up, that could change. But in the meantime, Avril is the starter and team leader in sacks. On the other side, Kyle Vandenbosch is an inspirational leader and plays well against both the run and pass. However, he is not ageless, and his production isn't what it used to be. Lawrence Jackson saw some significant playing time in a reserve/rotational role this past season. Both he and KVB will likely remain for the 2012 season. Some draft prognosticators feel the Lions could use one of their top three picks on a DE in this draft. I think this is likely to happen only if the Lions and Cliff Avril part ways in free agency. Otherwise, the Lions will only pick a player at this position high in the draft if one of great value falls to them.
LB
This is a position that generates even more concern for the Lions. DeAndre Levy wasn't all that spectacular at the weakside spot. Too often he overran plays and was easily removed by lead blockers. His pass coverage was spotty, at best. He is slated to be a restricted free agent, and will likely sign his tender and return. Stephen Tulloch was on a one year deal, as was Bobby Carpenter. Carpenter was primarily a backup, but played well enough when pressed into starting duty to earn a new deal and a chance at starting. Tulloch was seen as the potential answer for this team at the Mike spot, but he had what amounts to a disappointing season. While Tulloch did edge out DeAndre Levy for the team lead in tackles, with 111, there were times when he failed to make the play in critical situations when he had the opportunity. Also, late in the season teams were able to routinely take advantage of Tulloch's weakness in pass defense. The seam between his deep drop zone and that of the safeties was targeted time and again successfully by teams like New Orleans and Green Bay. Tulloch struggled to recognize the pass and get back to where he needed to be to prevent the plays, and that hurt the Lions. Detroit will likely do whatever they can to retain Tulloch this off-season, and that's not necessarily a bad thing. He did provide leadership, he did make plays, and he is a proven player. However, I don't know that Tulloch will get as much compensation as he thought he would. With the Lions tip-toeing around the cap, he might price himself out of contention for returning. It is surmised by many that the Lions will try and get a solid linebacking prospect out of this draft. If there is a player of value that falls to them, Detroit would be foolish indeed to pass on such a prospect and remain status quo. Their linebackers were a point of weakness this past season, and any good NFL analyst will be more than happy to tell you that.
CB
Chris Houston and Eric Wright provided the Lions with a better pair of starting corners than this team has seen in quite some time. Even though Wright was victimized more often than the fans and coaches would have liked, he was still one of the best tacklers on the team and provided some stability in the secondary. Chris Houston had another solid season, and his contract has him remaining for 2012. Wright, however, signed a one year deal when he came to Detroit, so he is set to be a free agent. It is anticipated that the Lions will allow Wright to shop himself to determine his market value. There is little doubt that teams will be interested in him, but not all will want him as a starter. Aaron Berry showed promise, but I still think he's too green to be a starter. He fails to turn and find the ball effectively, and doesn't knock receivers off their routes like he needs to. Alfonso Smith once again proved that as a nickel or dime corner, he is very effective. But as a starter, Smith is too easily overwhelmed and incapable of covering the better receivers. Should the Lions lose Eric Wright in free agency, they would be wise to take a hard look at some veterans to sign as a potential starter. There are a few who could be candidates, like Carlos Rogers, Terrell Thomas or Cortland Finnegan. Getting one in the draft is a definite possibility, although one of value is unlikely in round one.
S
In my opinion, this is the area of the defense most in need of improvement. While many hail Louis Delmas as a fringe Pro Bowl player, I feel he is more sizzle than steak. He misses tackles because of his desire to bring a big hit rather than make a solid form tackle. Bigger backs and receivers shake him with ease due to that flaw, and it has cost the Lions on a number of occasions. What makes it worse is that his counterpart, Amari Spievey, seems to have taken the same approach to tackling. Spievey demonstrates better form overall, but still tends to lower his shoulder rather than wrap up. Spievey also seemed to digress in his play throughout the 2011 season, and has some obvious issues in play recognition. Both players take poor angles to the ball carrier, which also results in big plays for the opposition. While the linebackers are supposed to be making the plays along the line of scrimmage, a defenses safeties are supposed to be sure tacklers that cover up those mistakes. Too often that didn't happen this past season, and Delmas was one of the biggest culprits of missing opportunities. He also can't seem to stay healthy. The Lions would do themselves a big favor if they came out of the draft with a solid coverage safety, something neither Delmas nor Spievey qualifies to be. Both are liabilities against the pass, particularly Spievey, a former college corner. The safety play on this team must improve, or the defense will continue to give up big points. Mark Barron is a name being tossed around as a possible pick for the Lions in the first round. I would be more than happy to see the former Crimson Tide player don the Honolulu Blue and Silver.
ST
Jason Hanson is still as steady as ever, and should be brought back if he wishes it. Ryan Donahue ended the season on IR after he displaced Nick Harris as the teams punter. Up to the point of his injury, he wasn't overly impressive, but did enough to warrant being brought back into camp. He will likely face competition from Ben Graham, as well as some undrafted free agent the Lions will undoubtedly bring in. Stefan Logan didn't have a stellar season, mostly because of rules changes to the kick-off and because the remaining members of the special teams units didn't do their jobs very well. Like Donahue, Logan will likely be brought back into camp, but face competition from others.
The Lions are a legitimate playoff team. They didn't back into the post-season. They won games they had to, contended in some tough games, and won respect throughout the NFL for their tough style of play and prolific air attack. Despite the issues with personal fouls and Ndamukong Suh's suspension, I believe that the Lions are a respected team.
To continue to be respected, the team will have to continue improving. The Lions have done a good job under Martin Mayhew and Jim Schwartz gaining talent through both the draft and their free agency signings. With their entry into the post-season, and the fact that the Lions are still considered "up and coming", Allen Park has now become much more attractive to prospective free agents looking for a home. In regards to the draft, the Lions have had high picks under Schwartz and Mayhew. It's time to find out if they can still pan for gold later in the various rounds of the NFL yearly lottery.
Here's a review of the team on a position by position basis, and whether or not the Lions will have to make some improvements in the off-season.
QB
Matthew Stafford is the real deal. He finally saw his first full season behind center, and responded with the first 5000+ yard season by a Lions signal caller. He is only the fourth QB in NFL history to throw for over 5000 yards in a season. And he's only 23 years old folks. He has the benefit of having Calvin Johnson snagging many of those passes, that is certain. However, watching Stafford play lets you know that Calvin is equally being benefitted by the existence of Stafford tossing the ball to him. What the Lions need to be concerned with is the fact that both their backups at the position are set to become free agents. Shaun Hill and Drew Stanton will both get some interest on the open market. The Lions will likely re-sign one of them, and allow the other to sign with another team. That means they will have to snare a quarterback or two in the off-season. I expect they'll try to sign Hill, and let Stanton walk. I don't expect the Lions to use a draft pick on a QB, but certainly make a play for a top tier undrafted rookie signal caller.
RB
Boy, this is a tricky one. It's still unknown if Jahvid Best will continue his NFL career, or take the advice of many and retire due to his concussion history. Personally, I think he should hang them up. It's one thing to have multiple knee or shoulder injuries, but quite another to have four concussions in three years....at least documented concussions. And at least two of those have been fairly serious. Mikel LeShoure is coming off a devastating Achille's tendon rupture, and that type of injury is generally viewed as being something that permanently affects a player. LeShoure had very quick feet and was able to make quick cuts previous to the injury. It's doubtful he will be able to play in a similar fashion now. However, the Lions signed him to be a power back, not a slasher. Should he return and not have lingering effects, he should be in the mix at the position. The remaining players, Kevin Smith, Maurice Morris and Keiland Williams, will be backups and can't be relied upon as starters. None have been effective. Joique Bell was signed off the Saints practice squad late in the season, and will compete but can't be expected to emerge as the answer. Given the question marks surrounding this position, it wouldn't come as a surprise if the Lions make a play for a proven veteran free agent. And despite having used two high (1st rounder for Best, 2nd rounder for LeShoure) draft picks the past two years on the position, I wouldn't be shocked if they used a high pick yet again on a running back. I wouldn't like it, but I wouldn't be surprised. As for veteran free agents, players like Jason Snelling or Jerious Norwood might be pursued, since they haven't seen much action but are considered quality backups to better players. In the draft, if a player falls in the draft, much like LeShoure did, then the Lions may take the leap and grab him. This is a position that needs some stability. To do that, the Lions need a player who can remain healthy.
TE
Quite honestly, I think the Lions have one of the better trio of players at this position. Pettigrew has emerged as one of the better tight ends in the league, even though he still drops some crucial passes. Tony Scheffler isn't much as a blocker, but can play from the line or from the slot, and is a mismatch for many linebackers and safeties throughout the league. Will Heller is considered a blocking specialist, but has shown himself to be a reliable receiver as well. All three are under contract in 2012. This position should remain unchanged for the third season in a row in 2012.
WR
The Lions wide receiver corps definitely got a boost when the Lions drafted Titus Young 40th overall last year. While he started off slow due to injuries in camp, as the season progressed he showed himself to be fearless running routes over the middle, with reliable hands and a flair for making tough catches. Though he lacks the size to be a true number one receiver, Young should evolve into a solid second receiver for this team. Nate Burleson had an up and down season in 2011, and needs to become a more consistent player for this team. He plays better coming out of the slot than when he is asked to run his patterns from the outside position. He is too easily misdirected off his route at the line by bigger corners. Calvin Johnson has finally shown himself to be the premier receiver in the NFL, and shut the collective mouths of critics like Cris Carter, who felt he was underperforming. After these three players, the remaining roster spots are filled by special teams players at this position. Stefan Logan was barely used as a receiver this season, and both Rashied Davis and Maurice Stovall left much to be desired when asked to take the field on offense. And based on how poorly the special teams play was this season for the Lions, I expect some turnover to take place on the lower rungs of the wide receiver ladder. I'd prefer the Lions to add some younger, hungrier and cheaper players to be their special teamers than to spend money on veterans who don't show the ability to be even somewhat effective when they must step in on offense. Having an effective fourth wide receiver, one that Matt Stafford can trust, would go a long way in making this offense even more dangerous.
OT
Jeff Backus had yet another good season, but the Lions need more. With age a concern, as well as his upcoming status as a free agent, the Lions still don't have a successor at left tackle on their current roster. As we all know, this is the second most important position on offense. Teams simply don't allow really good left tackles to leave. Jason Fox isn't the answer, as he can't remain healthy. John Culbreath has great athletic skill, but with his being on IR for the season, the Lions can't be sure of what they have. Corey Hilliard is a fine backup, but is not starting material. The only thing preventing the Lions from having the left tackle position on the top of their wish list, is the fact that they still have more dire needs on the roster. Still, if a tackle falls in the draft, I expect the Lions will strongly consider picking him even if they re-sign Backus. In free agency, someone like Jared Gaither or Demetrius Bell may get some interest, if their contract demands aren't too ridiculous. At right tackle, the Lions have even more problems. Gosder Cherilus was coming off micro-fracture surgery, so his slow start shouldn't have come as a surprise. But he never really got better as the season wore on, and his boneheaded penalties and other mistakes hurt the team. The Lions have been more than generous in giving Cherilus every possible opportunity to prove himself worthy as a starter. Personally, I'd like to see the Lions cut him and get another right tackle, either through the draft or free agency. But once again, the Lions may be hamstrung in doing so due to their cap situation, and their needs at other positions.
OG
Rob Sims isn't the second coming of Steve Hutchinson, but he's at least more consistent than Stephen Peterman. Sims also isn't a penalty machine, which Peterman is. Certainly Rob Sims has made his share of mistakes, and I'm sure continued coaching and exposure to the offensive scheme will help fix some of those. However, Stephen Peterman is a feast or famine type player. On some plays he seems worthy of All Pro consideration, and on other plays it's like he forgets he's in a football game. The Lions can't establish a running game with Peterman playing like that. Leonard Davis was signed mid-season because Peterman was playing so inconsistently, and that seemed to light a fire under him. However, it shouldn't have to come to that, and besides which Davis will be a free agent come March. On offense, this is the top priority for this team. They must improve their offensive line, and Peterman is the weak link. Carl Nicks would be a nice addition as a free agent, but he will likely command a huge salary. That is something I don't see the Lions doing, spending money like that on an interior offensive lineman. It's a shame, because I think it would dramatically boost their performance. Ben Grubbs is yet another potential player the Lions could look at, but he has had some injury issues that have limited his play. The Lions could consider using their first round pick on this position, and they have a number of players that could be of value that will be available when that time comes.
OC
Dominic Raiola is hailed by the current Detroit coaching staff as an "intelligent, hard working" player for this team. I don't dispute that. Another thing that I don't dispute is the fact that Raiola is undersized in todays NFL, and often gets manhandled by bigger DTs. Shaun Rogers consistently bull rushed Raiola in the Lions NFC playoff game, and Rogers is no longer the game changing DT he was when he graced the Lions roster. While many times the blocking scheme calls for the OG on either side of him to help, there are times where Raiola must block a DT by himself, and it is at those times that he loses more often than he wins. While he may be a great technician and solid at making line calls, none of that makes up for his lack of bulk in those situations. The Lions could kill two birds with one stone in the draft. If they were to elect the top center in the draft, former Wisconsin Badger Peter Konz, he could play guard in his first season (at 6'3" and 320 lbs, he is more than big enough) and then slide over to replace Raiola when the time is right. Like left tackles, teams don't often part with quality starting centers if they can help it. So getting a quality starter in free agency is unlikely. But much like the left tackle position, the team must start looking for the heir to their starting center, and do it soon.
DT
The Lions are pretty much set at defensive tackle, but some moves could be made here. Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley will be the starters in 2012, and Sammie Lee Hill is a valuable backup and rotational player. Hill will be entering his fourth season and will be a restricted free agent. It will be interesting to see how the Lions tender him, as there may be a team or two out there who would gladly part with a fourth round pick to add SLH to their roster. Andre Fluellen rarely saw time on the field, and is likely to be let go. But that will only happen if the Lions keep or replace Corey Williams. Williams wasn't as impressive in 2011 for the Lions as he was in 2010. And his salary is such that he'll either have to agree to a pay cut, or be cut himself. The Lions can ill afford to pay starter money to an obvious backup. While this certainly isn't the most pressing issue on the off-season list of things to do for Mayhew or Tom Lewand, it IS something that will eventually have to be addressed.
DE
Here's where the situation gets complicated for the Lions. Cliff Avril is set to be a free agent. If the Lions franchise him, they will have to pay him an exhorbitant amount of money. While Avril is good, he's definitely not a top 5 DE in the NFL. The Lions wants to extend him, and by all accounts Avril wants to remain. It will all be determined by just how valuable Avril and his agent thinks he is, and if the Lions agree or not. Willie Young is waiting in the wings, and has shown his ability to make plays rushing the passer. However, Young is a liability against the run. Should he continue bulking up, that could change. But in the meantime, Avril is the starter and team leader in sacks. On the other side, Kyle Vandenbosch is an inspirational leader and plays well against both the run and pass. However, he is not ageless, and his production isn't what it used to be. Lawrence Jackson saw some significant playing time in a reserve/rotational role this past season. Both he and KVB will likely remain for the 2012 season. Some draft prognosticators feel the Lions could use one of their top three picks on a DE in this draft. I think this is likely to happen only if the Lions and Cliff Avril part ways in free agency. Otherwise, the Lions will only pick a player at this position high in the draft if one of great value falls to them.
LB
This is a position that generates even more concern for the Lions. DeAndre Levy wasn't all that spectacular at the weakside spot. Too often he overran plays and was easily removed by lead blockers. His pass coverage was spotty, at best. He is slated to be a restricted free agent, and will likely sign his tender and return. Stephen Tulloch was on a one year deal, as was Bobby Carpenter. Carpenter was primarily a backup, but played well enough when pressed into starting duty to earn a new deal and a chance at starting. Tulloch was seen as the potential answer for this team at the Mike spot, but he had what amounts to a disappointing season. While Tulloch did edge out DeAndre Levy for the team lead in tackles, with 111, there were times when he failed to make the play in critical situations when he had the opportunity. Also, late in the season teams were able to routinely take advantage of Tulloch's weakness in pass defense. The seam between his deep drop zone and that of the safeties was targeted time and again successfully by teams like New Orleans and Green Bay. Tulloch struggled to recognize the pass and get back to where he needed to be to prevent the plays, and that hurt the Lions. Detroit will likely do whatever they can to retain Tulloch this off-season, and that's not necessarily a bad thing. He did provide leadership, he did make plays, and he is a proven player. However, I don't know that Tulloch will get as much compensation as he thought he would. With the Lions tip-toeing around the cap, he might price himself out of contention for returning. It is surmised by many that the Lions will try and get a solid linebacking prospect out of this draft. If there is a player of value that falls to them, Detroit would be foolish indeed to pass on such a prospect and remain status quo. Their linebackers were a point of weakness this past season, and any good NFL analyst will be more than happy to tell you that.
CB
Chris Houston and Eric Wright provided the Lions with a better pair of starting corners than this team has seen in quite some time. Even though Wright was victimized more often than the fans and coaches would have liked, he was still one of the best tacklers on the team and provided some stability in the secondary. Chris Houston had another solid season, and his contract has him remaining for 2012. Wright, however, signed a one year deal when he came to Detroit, so he is set to be a free agent. It is anticipated that the Lions will allow Wright to shop himself to determine his market value. There is little doubt that teams will be interested in him, but not all will want him as a starter. Aaron Berry showed promise, but I still think he's too green to be a starter. He fails to turn and find the ball effectively, and doesn't knock receivers off their routes like he needs to. Alfonso Smith once again proved that as a nickel or dime corner, he is very effective. But as a starter, Smith is too easily overwhelmed and incapable of covering the better receivers. Should the Lions lose Eric Wright in free agency, they would be wise to take a hard look at some veterans to sign as a potential starter. There are a few who could be candidates, like Carlos Rogers, Terrell Thomas or Cortland Finnegan. Getting one in the draft is a definite possibility, although one of value is unlikely in round one.
S
In my opinion, this is the area of the defense most in need of improvement. While many hail Louis Delmas as a fringe Pro Bowl player, I feel he is more sizzle than steak. He misses tackles because of his desire to bring a big hit rather than make a solid form tackle. Bigger backs and receivers shake him with ease due to that flaw, and it has cost the Lions on a number of occasions. What makes it worse is that his counterpart, Amari Spievey, seems to have taken the same approach to tackling. Spievey demonstrates better form overall, but still tends to lower his shoulder rather than wrap up. Spievey also seemed to digress in his play throughout the 2011 season, and has some obvious issues in play recognition. Both players take poor angles to the ball carrier, which also results in big plays for the opposition. While the linebackers are supposed to be making the plays along the line of scrimmage, a defenses safeties are supposed to be sure tacklers that cover up those mistakes. Too often that didn't happen this past season, and Delmas was one of the biggest culprits of missing opportunities. He also can't seem to stay healthy. The Lions would do themselves a big favor if they came out of the draft with a solid coverage safety, something neither Delmas nor Spievey qualifies to be. Both are liabilities against the pass, particularly Spievey, a former college corner. The safety play on this team must improve, or the defense will continue to give up big points. Mark Barron is a name being tossed around as a possible pick for the Lions in the first round. I would be more than happy to see the former Crimson Tide player don the Honolulu Blue and Silver.
ST
Jason Hanson is still as steady as ever, and should be brought back if he wishes it. Ryan Donahue ended the season on IR after he displaced Nick Harris as the teams punter. Up to the point of his injury, he wasn't overly impressive, but did enough to warrant being brought back into camp. He will likely face competition from Ben Graham, as well as some undrafted free agent the Lions will undoubtedly bring in. Stefan Logan didn't have a stellar season, mostly because of rules changes to the kick-off and because the remaining members of the special teams units didn't do their jobs very well. Like Donahue, Logan will likely be brought back into camp, but face competition from others.
Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Bye Week Blues.....
So, we are halfway through the regular season, and our beloved Lions sit at 6-2. We are now staring down the bye week weekend, and now is a good time to review what can be expected in the second half, and what we need to address.
1. Expect the second half to be tougher than the first half. There are no Kansas City or Denver games in the future of this remaining season. Oakland, San Diego, New Orleans and Carolina will be our non-division games. Two against Green Bay, Chicago away and Minnesota. The Vikings game is the only one that might be a blow out. Carolina isn't a very strong team, but Cam Newton has shown that he can take over a game, and the Lions have struggled against mobile quarterbacks with big arms. Carolina also has a couple really good backs in DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. I see no 30 point blow outs coming.
2. Expect teams to try harder to take Calvin out of the game, and to put immense pressure on Matt Stafford. Teams that pressure Stafford consistently are the ones who play us toughest. They don't have to take special measures to stop our running game, so they basically challenge the Lions to win through the air. If they can take the CJ option away by double coverage and pressure/blitzing, then the Lions are struggling to move the ball consistently. Scott Linehan has to find a way to open up other avenues to Matt Stafford. Nate Burleson and Titus Young have to work off the jams that they are facing at the line. Somehow the Lions are going to have to overcome this recipe that opposing teams are using to stop them.
3. Stop the opposing running game. Both Atlanta and San Francisco ran against Detroit successfully, and used it to make the passing game that much more effective on their behalves. Chicago kept the game close in Detroit by running. Minnesota and Dallas abandoned their running games with the lead, and it cost them their respective games against Detroit. Denver had a good running game, but Tebow and their defense were so bad it didn't make a difference. All told, teams know they can run on Detroit, and will create an effective game plan to that end. The Lions defense is going to have to play more disciplined, filling the assigned gaps they are given, not allowing the trap and misdirection plays to be as effective, and for God's sake will someone learn how to form tackle?!
4. Continue the third down defense, but cut out the dumb penalties. The Lions currently lead the league in stinginess against opposing offenses attempting to convert a third down. Teams have been successful 29% of the time (32 of 110). That's incredible, and is a direct result of a much improved pass defense. That statistic could be better if not for some foolish pre-snap penalties. And it goes both ways. The offense could be much more successful if they would stop the false starts and holding penalties. Disciplined teams fare much better in close games over teams that are more penalized. The Lions have to address this issue before they ever reach the "elite" level.
1. Expect the second half to be tougher than the first half. There are no Kansas City or Denver games in the future of this remaining season. Oakland, San Diego, New Orleans and Carolina will be our non-division games. Two against Green Bay, Chicago away and Minnesota. The Vikings game is the only one that might be a blow out. Carolina isn't a very strong team, but Cam Newton has shown that he can take over a game, and the Lions have struggled against mobile quarterbacks with big arms. Carolina also has a couple really good backs in DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. I see no 30 point blow outs coming.
2. Expect teams to try harder to take Calvin out of the game, and to put immense pressure on Matt Stafford. Teams that pressure Stafford consistently are the ones who play us toughest. They don't have to take special measures to stop our running game, so they basically challenge the Lions to win through the air. If they can take the CJ option away by double coverage and pressure/blitzing, then the Lions are struggling to move the ball consistently. Scott Linehan has to find a way to open up other avenues to Matt Stafford. Nate Burleson and Titus Young have to work off the jams that they are facing at the line. Somehow the Lions are going to have to overcome this recipe that opposing teams are using to stop them.
3. Stop the opposing running game. Both Atlanta and San Francisco ran against Detroit successfully, and used it to make the passing game that much more effective on their behalves. Chicago kept the game close in Detroit by running. Minnesota and Dallas abandoned their running games with the lead, and it cost them their respective games against Detroit. Denver had a good running game, but Tebow and their defense were so bad it didn't make a difference. All told, teams know they can run on Detroit, and will create an effective game plan to that end. The Lions defense is going to have to play more disciplined, filling the assigned gaps they are given, not allowing the trap and misdirection plays to be as effective, and for God's sake will someone learn how to form tackle?!
4. Continue the third down defense, but cut out the dumb penalties. The Lions currently lead the league in stinginess against opposing offenses attempting to convert a third down. Teams have been successful 29% of the time (32 of 110). That's incredible, and is a direct result of a much improved pass defense. That statistic could be better if not for some foolish pre-snap penalties. And it goes both ways. The offense could be much more successful if they would stop the false starts and holding penalties. Disciplined teams fare much better in close games over teams that are more penalized. The Lions have to address this issue before they ever reach the "elite" level.
Thursday, October 20, 2011
Life after a Lions Loss
OK, so we've all been here before. In fact, too many times have we, as Lions fans, been here before. We are mulling over a loss, and wondering what will happen in the upcoming game. The Lions will face Atlanta, in what may prove to be a contest between two teams that are leading contenders for being wildcard playoff teams in the NFC. Atlanta has struggled, but is coming off a pretty strong victory against an up and coming Carolina team. Matt Ryan hasn't exactly been himself, but the last two games he seems to have settled down, as has his offensive line. Michael Turner is coming off his best performance of the year, having run for over 100 yards and two touchdowns. But make no mistake, the Falcons still have some work to do. They will be facing a Lions team, at home, coming off a disappointing performance in front of their home crowd. Despite a poor showing by the offensive line, Matt Stafford and the special teams units, the Lions still had a chance to win. The 49ers were helped by the rotten work of the officials, but that is no excuse. Compound the loss with the fact that the team has now likely lost two of their running backs in the same week, three for the season, and it could be easy for them to take the low road and start singing "Poor, Poor, Pitiful Me".
I don't expect that will be the case.
The Lions know they have to stop Michael Turner. They did a very bad job of filling gaps and working against the trap and counter plays of the 49ers. Rest assured that the Lions likely were drilled on the diagnosis and disruption of those types of plays this week, as the Falcons like to work those too. The linebackers were filling the wrong gaps, so watch for them to take a more careful approach to reading the guards and filling the gaps behind them. Offensively the Lions will need to protect Matt Stafford better, and Stafford himself has to play a better game. He was inconsistent against the 49ers, and at times seemed to feel pressure that wasn't really there. The running game will now be left in the hands of Maurice Morris, who did well last season when Jahvid Best was experiencing double turf toe later in the year.
So, how will the Leos respond? Do they get worked up, rally the troops, and get after it? Or will they fold up their tents if the Falcons score early? Based on what they did in Dallas and against Minnesota, I'd say the Lions will put up a fight until the end. They had better be prepared to do just that, because much like the San Francisco game this is going to come down to the wire.
I don't expect that will be the case.
The Lions know they have to stop Michael Turner. They did a very bad job of filling gaps and working against the trap and counter plays of the 49ers. Rest assured that the Lions likely were drilled on the diagnosis and disruption of those types of plays this week, as the Falcons like to work those too. The linebackers were filling the wrong gaps, so watch for them to take a more careful approach to reading the guards and filling the gaps behind them. Offensively the Lions will need to protect Matt Stafford better, and Stafford himself has to play a better game. He was inconsistent against the 49ers, and at times seemed to feel pressure that wasn't really there. The running game will now be left in the hands of Maurice Morris, who did well last season when Jahvid Best was experiencing double turf toe later in the year.
So, how will the Leos respond? Do they get worked up, rally the troops, and get after it? Or will they fold up their tents if the Falcons score early? Based on what they did in Dallas and against Minnesota, I'd say the Lions will put up a fight until the end. They had better be prepared to do just that, because much like the San Francisco game this is going to come down to the wire.
Monday, September 26, 2011
Three games down, three wins up.....
What can we take away from the Lions game against the Vikings, other than the victory? Well, there are several things that need to happen.
1. The Lions are officially now a "good" team. Reason? Good teams find a way to win, even when they don't play well. Certainly there were players who did well, such as Stafford, Pettigrew and Calvin. But overall this wasn't a well played game, particularly by the offense. No running game, questionable pass blocking, and certainly the play calling in the first half was nothing to write home about.
2. The Lions need to make a decision on Jason Fox, quickly. His not being available is hurting the team, mostly because both Gosder Cherilus and Jeff Backus aren't playing as well as they should be. Granted, both of them are not 100% healthy, with Gos trying to overcome the long term effects of microfracture surgery on his knee, and Backus having suffered the torn pec muscle early in camp. Corey Hilliard is the only backup tackle we have, and he can't play two spots at once. Either put Fox on the Injured Reserve list and sign a veteran to help, or get his butt on the field of play to get him into football shape.
3. When CJ is being single covered, just throw him the ball. No reason to look for someone else, just get him the ball. Both Kansas City and Minnesota tried to single cover Calvin, and he made them pay almost everytime that the ball went his way. There were times in yesterdays game that the Vikings were single covering CJ, but the Lions didn't throw the ball to him. Take my advice, and take advantage of the mistakes being made by the defense...just get CJ the ball.
4. Matthew Stafford can take a hit, it seems, and will be fine. He took some shots yesterday, but bounced right back up, which was a welcome sight to Lions fans. Despite not getting sacked in the first two games, he did take some hits. However, yesterday he was getting pounded.
5. And last, but not least, what the Hell is the OC for Minnesota thinking? With a 20-0 lead going into the second half, how can you run Adrian Peterson just four times in the entire 30 minutes? How can you give the ball to Toby Gerhardt on 4th and 1? WHY would you give ANYONE the ball there, and not kick the field goal? Minnesota fans are steaming, and rightfully so. They had the game won, and gave the Lions a gift, making numerous mistakes in the second half, both on the field and on the sidelines.
Just remember Lions fans, the Vikings LOST that game more than the Lions winning it. But, in the end, it end it was the Lions who did what was needed to win the game. And for those of us who cheer on the Honolulu Blue and Silver clad team, that's all that matters now.
1. The Lions are officially now a "good" team. Reason? Good teams find a way to win, even when they don't play well. Certainly there were players who did well, such as Stafford, Pettigrew and Calvin. But overall this wasn't a well played game, particularly by the offense. No running game, questionable pass blocking, and certainly the play calling in the first half was nothing to write home about.
2. The Lions need to make a decision on Jason Fox, quickly. His not being available is hurting the team, mostly because both Gosder Cherilus and Jeff Backus aren't playing as well as they should be. Granted, both of them are not 100% healthy, with Gos trying to overcome the long term effects of microfracture surgery on his knee, and Backus having suffered the torn pec muscle early in camp. Corey Hilliard is the only backup tackle we have, and he can't play two spots at once. Either put Fox on the Injured Reserve list and sign a veteran to help, or get his butt on the field of play to get him into football shape.
3. When CJ is being single covered, just throw him the ball. No reason to look for someone else, just get him the ball. Both Kansas City and Minnesota tried to single cover Calvin, and he made them pay almost everytime that the ball went his way. There were times in yesterdays game that the Vikings were single covering CJ, but the Lions didn't throw the ball to him. Take my advice, and take advantage of the mistakes being made by the defense...just get CJ the ball.
4. Matthew Stafford can take a hit, it seems, and will be fine. He took some shots yesterday, but bounced right back up, which was a welcome sight to Lions fans. Despite not getting sacked in the first two games, he did take some hits. However, yesterday he was getting pounded.
5. And last, but not least, what the Hell is the OC for Minnesota thinking? With a 20-0 lead going into the second half, how can you run Adrian Peterson just four times in the entire 30 minutes? How can you give the ball to Toby Gerhardt on 4th and 1? WHY would you give ANYONE the ball there, and not kick the field goal? Minnesota fans are steaming, and rightfully so. They had the game won, and gave the Lions a gift, making numerous mistakes in the second half, both on the field and on the sidelines.
Just remember Lions fans, the Vikings LOST that game more than the Lions winning it. But, in the end, it end it was the Lions who did what was needed to win the game. And for those of us who cheer on the Honolulu Blue and Silver clad team, that's all that matters now.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Two games in......
So, Lions fans, we are now two games into the season, and the team is looking pretty good. However, they are far from perfect. The Tampa Bay game was closer in score than it actually was on the field. Dumb penalties was the story of that game, as was the domination of the Detroit defense versus the power running game of the Buccaneers. Despite making mistakes, the Lions were able to come out of the searing heat in Florida with a victory. Their first home game of the season against Kansas City was a laugher, but there are things that the team still needs to address. Foremost among these items is dropped passes. The Lions receivers need to hang onto the ball better. While Stafford's numbers are very good, they could be much better if these players focus on the task at hand. There is also some concern with the inconsistent running game the team has had. While there was some level of success against Tampa Bay, and the Lions did score twice on the ground against the Chiefs, there is no rhythym to the ground attack. Detroit cannot count on its ground game to eat up clock or control the tempo of a game, and that is a concern. I don't think it relates directly to the backs or the line, I believe it's a combination of the two.
Now, on to the good news. Matt Stafford is having a strong season, building on his excellent pre-season performances. To date the Lions QB has not suffered a sack, much to the credit of the offensive line and receivers, as well as the quick release Matt has. However, he has throw a couple picks that should not have happened, particularly the one against the Chiefs. Matt has to learn to either take a sack, or give up the play and throw the ball away. Defensively, the back seven that was thought be a potential problem actually has done fairly well. DeAndre Levy seems to still be adjusting to his new position on the outside, but is still making plays. Justin Durant and Stephen Tulloch have done well, and as a unit these three will continue to get better as they get settled into their roles. Bobby Carpenter is doing a good job as the teams fourth linebacker, brought in for special packages. The secondary is vastly improved, that much is clear. Amari Speivey is quite comfortable as the teams "other" safety, and Eric Wright is playing well and consistently. Chris Houston was a key re-signing in the off-season, and hopefully keeps up the level of his performances. The defensive line is still playing strong and getting to the quarterback to force mistakes.
To date, though head coach Jim Schwartz will tell you they aren't perfect, the Lions have been pretty good. Penalties were greatly reduced in game two, and the team isn't giving up a bunch of points. What the Lions need to work on is playing against an offense with speed, like that of the Chiefs. The Chiefs used misdirection and pre-snap movement to get the Lions confused and run with some success before Jamaal Charles sufferened his ACL tear. The Lions also have to be better on third down conversion effieciency. To date, they have successfull converted only 7 of 26 attempts to get the first down. Good teams win by having the advantage in turn over ratios, and by converting third down plays into first and tens.
But, it's still early....and things are looking very, very promising.
Now, on to the good news. Matt Stafford is having a strong season, building on his excellent pre-season performances. To date the Lions QB has not suffered a sack, much to the credit of the offensive line and receivers, as well as the quick release Matt has. However, he has throw a couple picks that should not have happened, particularly the one against the Chiefs. Matt has to learn to either take a sack, or give up the play and throw the ball away. Defensively, the back seven that was thought be a potential problem actually has done fairly well. DeAndre Levy seems to still be adjusting to his new position on the outside, but is still making plays. Justin Durant and Stephen Tulloch have done well, and as a unit these three will continue to get better as they get settled into their roles. Bobby Carpenter is doing a good job as the teams fourth linebacker, brought in for special packages. The secondary is vastly improved, that much is clear. Amari Speivey is quite comfortable as the teams "other" safety, and Eric Wright is playing well and consistently. Chris Houston was a key re-signing in the off-season, and hopefully keeps up the level of his performances. The defensive line is still playing strong and getting to the quarterback to force mistakes.
To date, though head coach Jim Schwartz will tell you they aren't perfect, the Lions have been pretty good. Penalties were greatly reduced in game two, and the team isn't giving up a bunch of points. What the Lions need to work on is playing against an offense with speed, like that of the Chiefs. The Chiefs used misdirection and pre-snap movement to get the Lions confused and run with some success before Jamaal Charles sufferened his ACL tear. The Lions also have to be better on third down conversion effieciency. To date, they have successfull converted only 7 of 26 attempts to get the first down. Good teams win by having the advantage in turn over ratios, and by converting third down plays into first and tens.
But, it's still early....and things are looking very, very promising.
Tuesday, August 30, 2011
So far, so good.....sort of.
So, after three pre-season games in the 2011 year, here's what we know.
1. Matt Stafford is the real deal. Despite missing 19 games out of 32 with injuries these past two years, he is looking tremendous. 77% completion, 5 TDs.....all coming against number one defenses. I questioned the pick when it was made, but no longer. I was simply wrong about the guy. Here's to hoping he makes it through the season healthy.
2. The offensive line is doing a great job protecting the quarterbacks. That is the reason the passing game will be Detroit's bread and butter, more so than the play of Matt Stafford, this coming season. Now that's all they have to do is keep it up throughout the season.
3. The Lions desperately need to establish a running game, or else teams are going to eventually learn how to disassemble the passing game. It is the one thing that most concerns me throughout this pre-season, and will continue to do so in the regular season. Their running game hasn't even been adequate.
4. The Detroit defensive line is just incredibly good. Ndamukong Suh is picking up right where he left off. I hope Nick Fairley is taking notes on the sidelines about how to become a destructive force in your rookie year, because that's how it's done. Pure aggression and the will to dominate. Add KVB to the mix and I can say that the Lions D-line, with its starters and depth, are the best in the NFL. Nobody has this much talent, this deep, in their front four.
5. Derrick Williams was given another chance, and has dropped it. Time for him to go. I'd prefer the Lions keep Maurice Stovall or Rashied Davis, or both. At least they can play special teams effectively.
6. The loss of Mikel LeShoure to injury could be bigger than any of us realize. He was going to be the player most responsible for eating up the clock in a close game down the wire. Nobody else has stepped into that role, and the Lions need someone to do so.
7. Willie Young could turn out to be a 7th round GEM. He has impressed me these past two pre-seasons with his play at defensive end. I liked the pick when it happened, and I like it even more now. He has great speed off the edge, and has added some muscle to his frame. Hopefully he'll continue to add some moves to his arsenal.
Finally, regarding Tom Kowalski...RIP, Killer......was universally loved and respected by colleagues and fans alike. Even if you didn't agree with his take on things, you had to respect the man for his humor and his dedication to covering what was a pretty sad sack franchise for years. His loss is a shame, and proof that life isn't fair. He will be missed.
1. Matt Stafford is the real deal. Despite missing 19 games out of 32 with injuries these past two years, he is looking tremendous. 77% completion, 5 TDs.....all coming against number one defenses. I questioned the pick when it was made, but no longer. I was simply wrong about the guy. Here's to hoping he makes it through the season healthy.
2. The offensive line is doing a great job protecting the quarterbacks. That is the reason the passing game will be Detroit's bread and butter, more so than the play of Matt Stafford, this coming season. Now that's all they have to do is keep it up throughout the season.
3. The Lions desperately need to establish a running game, or else teams are going to eventually learn how to disassemble the passing game. It is the one thing that most concerns me throughout this pre-season, and will continue to do so in the regular season. Their running game hasn't even been adequate.
4. The Detroit defensive line is just incredibly good. Ndamukong Suh is picking up right where he left off. I hope Nick Fairley is taking notes on the sidelines about how to become a destructive force in your rookie year, because that's how it's done. Pure aggression and the will to dominate. Add KVB to the mix and I can say that the Lions D-line, with its starters and depth, are the best in the NFL. Nobody has this much talent, this deep, in their front four.
5. Derrick Williams was given another chance, and has dropped it. Time for him to go. I'd prefer the Lions keep Maurice Stovall or Rashied Davis, or both. At least they can play special teams effectively.
6. The loss of Mikel LeShoure to injury could be bigger than any of us realize. He was going to be the player most responsible for eating up the clock in a close game down the wire. Nobody else has stepped into that role, and the Lions need someone to do so.
7. Willie Young could turn out to be a 7th round GEM. He has impressed me these past two pre-seasons with his play at defensive end. I liked the pick when it happened, and I like it even more now. He has great speed off the edge, and has added some muscle to his frame. Hopefully he'll continue to add some moves to his arsenal.
Finally, regarding Tom Kowalski...RIP, Killer......was universally loved and respected by colleagues and fans alike. Even if you didn't agree with his take on things, you had to respect the man for his humor and his dedication to covering what was a pretty sad sack franchise for years. His loss is a shame, and proof that life isn't fair. He will be missed.
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